🔁 Circular mechanism
There are several feedback mechanisms within the system. These are self-reinforcing behaviors; action 1 increases the rate of action 2 which increases the rate of action 1. Circular mechanics like this are the drivers of exponential expansion and boom and bust cycles. Loose policy states enable these dynamics while tight policy states suppress them.
Player Goals
Stakers care primarily about their SGT balance. While price is important in valuing their SGT and determining the rate at which it grows, it is not the main goal. A smart staker cares only about the short and long term growth prospects of the network. That growth translates into wealth via price and balance growth.
Minters care primarily about SGT price. When they mint SGT purchasing a bond, these users lock in a fixed reward in SGT. Therefore, network profitability is only helpful in calculating opportunity cost or gain; minters have their SGT gains locked in.
The ideal scenario for a minter is for price to go up; in this case, the minter benefits from their discount on SGT and the increase in price.
Minters are still happy if price remains flat; their profit is the discount from the bond. Like stakers, minters profit from inactivity at or around their buy-in via an increasing balance.
Minters only lose when price goes down beyond the discount on the bond. At this point, the minters will choose between the SGT or the LP Token, depending on which one is worth more. Minters always get to choose the better of the two assets, effectively combining the best pieces of both assets' risk to reward profiles.
Market Dynamics
The default state of the network is at intrinsic value. After some long period of inactivity, the price will always return to this level.
Contractions are conceivably only triggered by short-term liquidity crises. Since SGT holders have a guarantee that price will come back above intrinsic value eventually, the only sellers below should be those who need a short term exit and are willing to take the extra loss.
Expansions can be triggered by an increase in staking or minting.
An increase in staking will generally be preceded by purchases from the market. That increases the price, which allows the protocol to sell at a higher price and increases yield for stakers. That should serve to bring in more stakers and continue the cycle.
Meanwhile, the rising price increases the bond discount and creates the capacity for new bonds. These are preceded by new liquidity, which improves the protocol's ability to carry out sales and increases available exit liquidity.
This positive price-liquidity feedback loop should serve to create sustainability in expansionary periods. However, they work both ways. Falling demand decreases staking rewards and mint capacity, causing demand to fall further. This is an unavoidable fact of system's like this; even the best (i.e. Bitcoin) is no stranger to significant declines after periods of expansion.
But we can work to mitigate busts. This is where the protocol's reserves step in and catch the market when velocity turns too far to the downside. The treasury ensures that, although bear markets and contractions can and will occur, the protocol can never die.
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